Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 875.876476 996.702461 1134.286329 1303.872265 1509.114190 1751.854665 2.064258e+03
2024-10-27 675.661532 821.375226 1003.178511 1251.335776 1588.840868 2043.711998 2.725009e+03
2024-11-03 606.205844 769.177957 985.192443 1301.563507 1769.761073 2467.013690 3.649110e+03
2024-11-10 549.327036 720.444731 958.274705 1327.019029 1912.775584 2864.807336 4.675371e+03
2024-11-17 500.886812 674.463344 925.125673 1332.529631 2019.997949 3227.338172 5.783460e+03
2024-11-24 456.637510 628.046361 883.392841 1314.950103 2081.561141 3522.778528 6.891542e+03
2024-12-01 430.818714 605.297183 873.547855 1345.619487 2231.119048 4024.717623 8.722845e+03
2024-12-08 413.793599 593.600058 878.774291 1401.436335 2438.403517 4712.759310 1.148744e+04
2024-12-15 394.181310 575.498996 870.798195 1431.447542 2600.686880 5360.071153 1.467875e+04
2024-12-22 371.819987 550.670883 848.349299 1430.341640 2696.629297 5883.135685 1.797108e+04
2024-12-29 356.964559 536.733371 842.948007 1460.925291 2869.863531 6683.981390 2.333271e+04
2025-01-05 332.196351 504.034870 800.846832 1411.530189 2844.746122 6909.151511 2.640366e+04
2025-01-12 310.390232 475.442963 764.748912 1372.342528 2843.526478 7234.850900 3.071811e+04
2025-01-19 288.509015 445.304567 723.404296 1317.289822 2792.696547 7390.321493 3.444870e+04
2025-01-26 282.245934 441.985553 731.774303 1370.895204 3040.893631 8718.507148 4.984429e+04
2025-02-02 273.321274 433.158759 728.621988 1398.223350 3225.662911 9941.868605 6.958963e+04
2025-02-09 262.800830 420.628511 716.972161 1404.126138 3350.750182 11016.365788 9.397881e+04
2025-02-16 250.627482 404.222927 696.138609 1385.277336 3396.308321 11775.656154 1.198907e+05
2025-02-23 244.429484 398.514306 696.452713 1418.166774 3617.485714 13595.482636 1.862919e+05
2025-03-02 240.997623 397.747163 706.831382 1478.070035 3951.029708 16404.575148 3.445781e+05
2025-03-09 235.282424 392.175759 706.519200 1510.302278 4200.575664 19052.562198 6.298879e+05
2025-03-16 227.231117 381.534950 694.373711 1509.114240 4326.744102 21055.091984 1.070226e+06
2025-03-23 222.298050 376.719989 694.545280 1541.977590 4600.474611 24640.276964 2.603803e+06